Trump Media & Know-how Group introduced at this time that Reality Social will change into the primary social media platform to supply prediction markets straight inside its app.
The new feature, referred to as “Reality Predict,” will permit customers to guess on real-world occasions via a partnership with Crypto.com’s derivatives alternate.
What Reality Predict Presents
Reality Predict will let customers commerce contracts on main occasions together with political elections, Federal Reserve selections, commodity costs, and sports activities video games. The platform makes use of Crypto.com Derivatives North America (CDNA), which is registered with the Commodity Futures Buying and selling Fee (CFTC), making it federally compliant.
Costs will replace in real-time, permitting customers to react immediately to breaking information and present occasions. Reality Social customers who earn “Reality gems” by interacting with the platform can convert these rewards into CRO tokens to buy prediction contracts.
Trump Media’s Technique
Trump Media CEO Devin Nunes mentioned the transfer goals to “democratize info” and provides on a regular basis Individuals entry to markets historically managed by what he referred to as “international elites.” The corporate reported over $three billion in monetary belongings and not too long ago posted its first quarter of optimistic money movement since going public.
“Reality Predict will permit our loyal customers to have interaction in prediction markets with a trusted community whereas harnessing our social media platform to supply distinctive methods for customers to debate and examine their predictions,” Nunes acknowledged within the official announcement.
The Crypto.com Connection
This prediction markets launch builds on an present partnership between Trump Media and Crypto.com. In August 2025, the businesses introduced a $6.4 billion deal to create Trump Media Group CRO Technique, a digital asset treasury firm targeted on buying CRO tokens.
Supply: @cryptocom
Trump Media bought 684.4 million CRO tokens price $105 million, making it one of many largest CRO holders globally. The corporate already makes use of CRO for its rewards system on Reality Social and Reality+, the place premium subscribers can convert earned factors into cryptocurrency.
Booming Prediction Markets Trade
Reality Social is getting into a quickly rising market. Prediction market platforms Kalshi and Polymarket mixed for a report $1.44 billion in buying and selling quantity throughout September 2025. The business now sees mixed volumes exceeding $20 billion throughout main platforms.
Crypto.com CEO Kris Marszalek referred to as prediction markets “a multi-deca-billion greenback business” and mentioned the partnership “aligns completely with what customers search for in social media—a neighborhood to have interaction with and search fact.”
Regulatory Panorama
Reality Predict enters the market at a time when prediction platforms face combined regulatory environments. Kalshi operates as a CFTC-regulated alternate in the US, whereas Polymarket is working to re-enter the U.S. market after exiting in 2022 following a settlement with the CFTC.
Massachusetts not too long ago filed a lawsuit towards Kalshi, accusing the platform of illegally working sports activities betting with out correct licenses. Nonetheless, the CFTC has taken a softer strategy below the present administration, dropping investigations towards Polymarket earlier this yr.
Launch Timeline and Market Influence
Reality Predict will start beta testing “within the close to future” on Reality Social, adopted by a full U.S. launch. The corporate plans worldwide growth after assembly regulatory necessities in different nations.
Following the announcement, Trump Media’s inventory rose 4.4% in premarket buying and selling, whereas CRO elevated 4.9% over 24 hours. Reality Social had roughly 6.three million customers as of January 2025, giving the platform a smaller however doubtlessly extremely engaged consumer base for its prediction markets function.
The Large Image
The launch represents Trump Media’s continued growth from social media into monetary expertise. The corporate operates Reality Social, the Reality+ streaming platform, and plans to launch Reality.Fi, a monetary companies model.
By combining social media with prediction markets, Reality Social goals to show consumer engagement into precise market participation. If profitable, the platform may set up a brand new mannequin the place social discussions and monetary predictions occur in the identical area—creating what some analysts name “prediction-driven social finance.”
The transfer places Trump Media in direct competitors with established prediction market platforms whereas leveraging its present social media infrastructure and crypto partnerships to supply a singular built-in expertise.
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